Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.162730 0.183640 0.205663 0.230534 0.257786 0.286684 0.319590
2025-04-20 0.135868 0.164214 0.195687 0.233037 0.275961 0.323550 0.380097
2025-04-27 0.118752 0.152273 0.191201 0.239349 0.296874 0.362964 0.444168
2025-05-04 0.103125 0.139662 0.183871 0.240615 0.310773 0.393899 0.498997
2025-05-11 0.092340 0.131404 0.180442 0.245475 0.328304 0.429067 0.559576
2025-05-18 0.084308 0.125549 0.179079 0.252176 0.347748 0.466718 0.624049
2025-05-25 0.074481 0.116117 0.171998 0.250535 0.355872 0.489931 0.670766
2025-06-01 0.066581 0.108426 0.166385 0.250052 0.364931 0.514100 0.718939
2025-06-08 0.059684 0.101399 0.160956 0.249147 0.372930 0.536694 0.765308
2025-06-15 0.055525 0.097967 0.160210 0.254453 0.389274 0.570525 0.827120
2025-06-22 0.050445 0.092582 0.156116 0.254529 0.398055 0.594143 0.875650
2025-06-29 0.045786 0.087377 0.151822 0.253877 0.405503 0.615866 0.921896
2025-07-06 0.041388 0.082289 0.147492 0.253125 0.413064 0.638438 0.970701
2025-07-13 0.038255 0.079017 0.145724 0.256062 0.426007 0.668844 1.031129
2025-07-20 0.036235 0.077477 0.146576 0.263005 0.445059 0.708397 1.105357
2025-07-27 0.033353 0.074079 0.144093 0.264445 0.455706 0.735990 1.163158
2025-08-03 0.031426 0.072246 0.144063 0.269730 0.472314 0.772605 1.234670
2025-08-10 0.029986 0.071190 0.145252 0.276984 0.492131 0.814371 1.314514
2025-08-17 0.027257 0.067308 0.141194 0.275225 0.497564 0.834698 1.363332
2025-08-24 0.024971 0.064067 0.138020 0.274712 0.504827 0.857813 1.416617
2025-08-31 0.022836 0.060897 0.134721 0.273738 0.511187 0.879571 1.468204
2025-09-07 0.021742 0.059845 0.135276 0.279466 0.528628 0.918688 1.546576
2025-09-14 0.020050 0.057278 0.132752 0.279548 0.536621 0.943231 1.603284